Hindsight bias is commonly referred to as the “I knew it all along” effect. Individuals who are informed of a specific outcome prior to judging how the event will pan out perceive that outcome as more likely to occur than ...

People are biased toward seeing associations between independent events and assuming causal explanations for those associations. Indeed, the lay public incorrectly infers cause-and-effect from descriptions of non-experimental ...

Research on Hindsight bias began in 1975, when Fischhoff published his seminal article describing the effects of hindsight bias on judgments of important evidence and perceived likelihood of possible outcomes. In this ...